27 Oct 2007 @ 07:43, by Vladimir Tretyakov
Creating the 3rd Millennium Civilization Security
A report
By Dr. Uladzimir TRATSIAKOU (Republic of Belarus),
Content:
Re-comprehending the security problem.
"The safe life" inside "the dangerous civilization".
You may get surprised.
Which social forces might cope with that huge problem of civilization security for such the limited time?
Have the world intelligentsia realized the problem as proper affair?
Is our minds tuned to decide many dimension tasks of like type?
Dangerous similarity.
Other dangerous correlations.
Questions what might be set.
Where a lever should be put?
New dimensions of human rights?
Panoramic thinking is reached.
Not only an imperative.
What changes will be in a society of many PT-educated
Let us estimate how many time will have taken the problem's solution.
To weaken the problem's keenness.
Discussion:
It'd be so good.
The situation is "insufficient bad".
When the situation worsened.
An affair for the inteligentsia, but...
A hope however exists.
Creating the 3rd Millennium Civilization Security
A report for the U.N. Leadership
By Dr. Uladzimir TRATSIAKOU (Republic of Belarus),
IAIT Representative at UN Headquarters
Excellencies, Ladies and Gentlemen of the UN leadership:
You must recognize that at present existing system of collective security, characterized by a systemic archetype "patching the holes" is unsatisfactory for people and demanding a change on something better. Now, it depends from you, governing by the largest organization of the world, will or won't be starting the process which has to be resulting via several decades in creation of many more reliable and stable system of the civilization security. The possibility to create it on a qualitatively higher level exists. There is no another organization in the world which would be ore suitable than yours for initiation such the process.
Content:
Re-comprehending the security problem.
"The safe life" inside "the dangerous civilization".
You may get surprised.
Which social forces might cope with that huge problem of civilization security for such the limited time?
Have the world intelligentsia realized the problem as proper affair?
Is our minds tuned to decide many dimension tasks of like type?
Dangerous similarity.
Other dangerous correlations.
Questions what might be set.
Where a lever should be put?
New dimensions of human rights?
Panoramic thinking is reached.
Not only an imperative.
What changes will be in a society of many PT-educated
Let us estimate how many time will have taken the problem's solution.
To weaken the problem's keenness.
Discussion:
It'd be so good.
The situation is "insufficient bad".
When the situation worsened.
An affair for the inteligentsia, but...
A hope however exists.
Re-comprehending the security problem. There is a cybernetic principle of external addition, very optimistic: Any problem may be solved being re-formulated on an appropriate higher, meta-systemic level. Stanislaw Lem gave in "Summa Technologiae" an example of such successful reformulation. It is about the everlasting dream of people to fly as birds. The dream-problem had not been solved in during of many centuries, its reformulation (admitting the use of apparatus heavier than air) got the solution only when new technologies were mastered. It is a right time now (earlier, it was impossible; later, it may be too late) to reformulate in similar way the problem of civilization security as that to have resolved it in some decades using new technologies - educational, intellectual and information ones.
"The safe life" inside "the dangerous civilization". The human civilization had been created in several millennia; then problem of survival was standing only for individuals, not for whole human race. But in XX century, on the contrary, the civilization's survival got greater problem: Earth, after S.Lec, turned "into point under question sign", at that "the sign" was increasing, even if because of so called overkill - "possibility" disposed to completely exterminate life with tenth or even hundredth quotas of warheads available. There is even a gloomy joke: "Optimists and pessimists distinguish themselves by the dates of a doomsday only". It means - if we want to defend what had been created thousands of years we should save it from both destruction and self-extermination in during of some decades, because we have scarcely more time to undertake something, until global catastrophes (predicted!) will come.
You may get surprised. Really, it appears to be logical to extrapolate individual and both social and state experience of people to the level of the whole human community. For a human being is naturally to build life plans; for a state - to plan its economical development for years, even for decades. Significant, 60-80-year average duration of the human life, as well as some century duration of states' existence give evidence concerning necessity of such the planning, at least that it is desirable. However we may assert that the transition to the next level determined as the buiding-up of a general human strategy, or "the planning for all humankind" how and where it should develop, until now has been done. Humankind is living "as it is turned", any-how.
Which social forces might cope with that huge problem of civilization security for such the limited time? Whole human civilization, with its culture and technosphere, had arisen in result of intellectual, creative activities of many generations of people, of those, who now are called as intellectuals, intelligent people, intelligentsia. It is why intelligent people may and should admit that their historical mission in the perspective of some generations is to elaborate a strategy of existence and development of Humankind, the strategy what might minimize threats of civilization's extermination and self-extermination and to be corrected then "in course of the life".
Have the world intelligentsia realized the problem as proper affair? Separate its representatives, yes. There are global direction intellectual centers, web resource ones among them, there is the UN Security Council, as well national councils of similar directedness, where intelligent people are claimed; but there aren't something akin to the World Intellectual Resource, even any attempts were not done to start organizing it. But the hardness of the task is so extremely big, that only the united intellect of all intelligentsia will have got any chance to manage with decision of the problem.
Is our minds tuned to decide many dimension tasks of like type? Sorry, the answer is negative. It may be shown in simple way. Look at your reflexion in a mirror: you can see that all your main organs of feelings -- eyes, ears, nose, not excluding tongue -- are finding as near as possible to your mind. Such the property being characteristic for all high animals as well, gives evidence concerning the big pressure of the evolution selection amongst our forbears and correlates with the necessity to minimize the time of their behavior reactions. The last circumstance had pre-defined our thinking's peculiarities: binary logics (type of forbears' one: "danger - no danger", "edible - not edible", "own - alien"); thoughtlessness, or "narrow-mindedness"; inclination to take decisions rather simple than adequate; tendency "to serve" aggressive forms of behavior.
Dangerous similarity. Narrow-mindedness, or narrow field of consciousness, having been formerly an advantage for individual survival, is getting more and more a shortage and just because of it may be named as the shortage of panoramic thinking (SPT). It is a kind of specialization having been gained by people in pre-historic times. Unfortunately, the manner of thinking didn't change from times of the stone centuries, otherwise we should be to prove that more clever people had always more possibilities for reproduction than more physical strong, aggressive or sexy individuals. It means we may be likened a narrow specialized species of the deep water fishes, which, as it is known, cannot be lifted alive to the sea surface. We, with our narrow-mindedness as a sort of specialization, we all are lifted as well - to the top of the civilization, having our mind as before tuned on "programs of jungles".
Other dangerous correlations. Aggressiveness and narrow operative field of consciousness (NOFC) are correlatively bounded properties: one is conditioned by another. It is known, in while an act of aggression, field of consciousness is getting yet more narrow, even boundary narrow. All sudden, not prepared murders happen just in such states; they are named ‘murders in the state of affect’. Because of that NOFC, i.e. SPT, is threating factor more and more, as more mighty is getting energetic and military means having been available. Moreover, there is a probability to take a fatal mistake of the global scale by people "provided with SPT", rising together with the world's complexity up-graiding impetuously.
Questions what might be set. Don't think you that many million armies of fans going mad of their sportive and variety idols are evidence of what may be named as "the not-claimedness of the human minds"? Aren't evidence of the same that we usually hate to be in waiting of something or somebody? May we say that the not burdening thought accompaniment of events as well as idle talks "reply by reply" are quite unusable for people? Don't you see in it an association with the fact that only one tenth part of head brain nervous cells are acting? May we be surprised then that we have the thinking which gives rise to numerous problems? Why one can't think that just because of SPT human communities again and again face such problems as corruption, terrorism, interpersonal, inter-ethnic, inter-confessional, inter-nation, military and other conflicts? May you be agree that there are dangerous errors of thoughtlessness which happen because of SPT, and
there is dangerous aggressive behavior - because of pathologic SPT, i.e. limitary narrowed field of consciousness?
After all that, may you admit there is a systemic discordance: the human mind is out of correspondence with such huge complexity of the civilization having created by hundreds of human generations?
Where a lever should be put? While looking for the weak link of a system the question is decided where the lever of future systemic changes should be put. It is obviously the place of its putting is found in our imperfect brains having been formed in the conditions of wild nature. Of course the lever may have a "form" of any educational techniques. To correct our minds is of great significance: while thinking we make mistakes of thoughtlessness having "normal" SPT, and while acting we may perform aggressive conduct because of pathologic narrowed field of consciousness.
What might be? The panoramic thinking (PT), as a manner of thinking "over" what is necessary for individual survival, includes into itself all creative forms, i.e. non-standard, inventive, systemic, of full spectrum, of break-through, etc. G.B.Shaw said: "Descartes, maybe, extracted from the life more joyness than Casanova did". To take possession of more perfect tool of the thought, a new human right should arise, the right to be taught to think panoramically, overcoming SPT and having given more joyness from creative perception of the life.
Panoramic thinking is reached. The huge ability to study is maybe the main quality of human beings, having singling them out of the animal world. Well, we can see in action those who reveal the ability of PT. They are for example controllers of airport, music and theatrical performers, conductors of orchestra, artists of circus, gymnasts, extreme sportsmen. They confirm that teaching may be successful.
Not only an imperative. By the way, "to widen the minds", i.e. to take possession of PT, is not only an imperative challenge to the humankind conditioned by the new reality of the world overloaded with information. In such the conditions the education priority to get knowledge is getting lower than the priority to be able to think panoramically, in particular to know how to find and to use the necessary knowledge. It may not be considered as natural that high intellectual emotions are not experienced by huge majority of people; those are "shut" for them.
What changes are waited in a society of many PT-educated people?
Anti-negative ones: reduction of suicides; reduction of murders in the state of temporary insanity; cessation or relaxation of interethnic, interconfessional and other kinds of dissension; cessation of utilization of people for anti-humane goals (because of their increased capacity to resist zombification); overcoming the disconnection of different sciences owing to unifying ideas of great community (i.e. discoveries of civilization's omissions).
Positive ones: improvement and pacification of interpersonal relations;
increase of the quantitative and qualitative level of legislative activity;
rise of inventive and innovative activity effectiveness;
rise of GNP per capita (owing to growth of the human capital of organizations, enterprises, companies etc.); improvement of leisure quality because of the more pleasure got by people owing to their more perfect thinking instrument, supplied by PT.
Let us estimate how many time will have taken the problem's solution. 5-10 years - proceeding public multi-media discussion on the education priorities' changes. 5 years - elaborating the education programs with the priority of panoramical thinking's development for all the levels of education. 10 years - proving the solvency of the programs, bettering them. 15-25 years - preparation of the panoramically thinking teachers and high-school lectures of 1st call. 15-20 years - ending the school and high-school reformation based on the PM-priority. 20-30 years - creation of the World IntelNet Resource of panoramically thinking experts, with the hard-were, soft-were, design, scientific, artistic, media ensuring needed, with the perfect regalements elaborated of discussions and negotiations; the leading into action the reliable, self-reproducing system of civilization security.
Thus, transition to the new system of civilization security will likely need about 70-100 years.
To weaken the problem's keenness. 1914-18 - 1st world war, 1941-45 - 2nd world war, 1986 - Chernobyl catastrophe, 2001 - World Trade Center's destruction. Thus, periods "almost without catastrophes" were only 23, 41 and 15 years. So, one may doubt that humankind will get 70-100 years for reflection about is it worthy to refuse from thinking structure what had been formed in pre-historic times. It is why to lessen general, "inter-human" tenseness in the world. We may take into account that at first in the human history possibility appears (more exactly, about to appear) owing Internet, to discus "by all world" the age-old problem of happiness, what was badly publicized by Utopians.
The UN claimed 2001 as Year of inter-civilizations dialogue. The dialogue might be proceed because that problem of happiness absorb all other problems facing Humankind, i.e. military conflicts, terrorism, the growing poverty, resources’ exhaustion, environment’s pollution, possible catastrophes; "the golden billion" and other five ones, "not golden", should be mentioned separately. It seems Internet to be about to place into itself the all-planetary discussion on this eternal dream of people. To have such the global discussion club where you can tell about your failures and problems and get histories and counsels as similar obstacles were overcome by others, and be by those "others", and propose your ideas of better life, and have theoretical disputes on social and philosophical subjects... Being in contacts, people will more feel their belonging to humankind as single social organism. But in an organism kidneys and liver aren't in an enmity, so a pacification in the humankind as a super-organism might be waited. It is important in itself (for example, a huge mass of people, not only creative ones, will experience moments of happiness feeling their usefulness) and because of "the respite" for Humankind and therefore of more time for the main problem's decision.
DISCUSSION
It'd be so good. ... if systemic discordance of the civilization were realized. Then the trinity of surviving calls, i.e."Develop Panoramic Thinking!", "Create Planetary Intellectual Resource!" and "Stay and Resolve the Problem of Happiness for All and by All Together!", might be perceived as categorical imperatives and stay as guide to action. Such the trinity has any inner logics of entailing one with others, and this should be taken into account to overcome the "buts" which each of imperatives has.
So, the call "To develop the panoramic thinking" will be inhibited by both mental laziness being usual for people and inertness of the education system being a consequence of the general property mentioned. Moreover, to knowledge a mental shortage is not acceptable for many intellectuals realizing their superiority under others.
The imperative "To create planetary intellectual resource" may not be supported in long time because the most creative part of intelligentsia doesn't intend to unite as that to think together.
The imperative "To stay and develop the problem of happiness for all and by all together" has 'contra-indications' because of the previous unsuccessful attempts of individual speculative buildings of "happy" societies.
The situation is "insufficient bad". It is so because 3 calls above aren't perceived as even simple imperatives of surviving. However strange it is, the said has most to do with Third imperative, because to realize it as necessary executed one, people should have felt not only strong worsening of life's quality, of its both comfort and safety, but have got radical displacement in social consciousness in direction of social polarization smoothening, of national vital standards' equalizing.
However, on the stage of "simple imperatives", when they are, as now, on the periphery of the social consciousness, their traumatic influence on the society is insignificant and it is possible to prepare introducing them into action with no fear to provoke panic and chaos. For example, the education based on the principle of developing the panoramic thinking (in particular, creative one) is justified by the fact that the civilization now is other, rather information one then technical, so the priority "to teach the knowledge" is out of date. To teach to think (good) is of many more significance, without referring on an imperative.
When the situation worsened. After a series of catastrophes predicted the media will appear to take ‘untwisting’ the imperatives of surviving, competing against «who is more black and terrifying». We can only hope that situation will not crash down completely owing the imperative «to get happy all to remain alive all». Paradoxically, it may have got big attractive force, in spite of its almost obvious impracticable. After disquiet and stresses the faith in verity of preferable things may be especially strong. Maybe then a sub-problem: how unify all intelligent forces will lose its keenness because of the strongest instinct of individual survival, and an institualization of intelligentsia will be carried out. However, it'll be already lesser intellectual forces and worse conditions for intellectual occupations. As for "to change the minds!", this task will seem to be lost "on afterwards".
So, we may ascertain: catastrophes of global scale having happened will remove the start of the new civilization security program on some human generations.
An affair for the inteligentsia, but... All 3 components of the civilization security problem are tasks for intelligentsia, as being more than other social stratum erudite and preparated in sense of both methodologies and techniques. However among inteligentsia one is pride being closed to the power, other being far from it; not a few ones experience to themselves feelings of deep self-respect and because of that stay low balls for any others' initiatives. In general, certainly having in the view those last, Alexander Pushkin said: «Foolishness of a condemnation is less noticeable than foolishness of a praise», and those, "the lesser noticeable ones", are set usually in motion.
There is hard situation. Civilization security problem and strategical planning of humankind's development might stay historical mission of intelligent people, uniting all them general affair, but because of their arrogance, inter-discipline, inter-corporation and other disconnections no institualization of intelligentsia happen. Let you imagine: the whole humankind as a hostage of intelligentsia...
A hope however exists. The point is that the best representatives of intelligentsia, those who are living with accordance with the conscience, they used to evaluate all after the largest moral counting. It is why having realized the very hard problem of civilization existing just they may take responsibility for the civilization's security and its further development, starting that high security plan. The United Nations I am quite sure might count on their support, even disinterested.
Let us propose any group of such intelligent people realizes their involvedness into the problem and unites in the group for civilization security (GCS). What might be their actions?
Understanding the necessity to heighten the quality of thinking in the society they come out with articles and interviews in media explaining ways of education reforming. Some of them elaborate programs of different levels of learning, others publish articles with critical analysis of the language showing reveals of SPT in there by nobody unmarked, argue that instrument of the thought should not be stupid and rusty if it pretends to be a tool of good thinking. That and similar activities attract other thinking people, and GCS is replenishing. At any time the IntelNet, Internet's intellectual part, recognize GCS as appropriate partners, take their research problems as own ones. A movement to World Intellectual Resource goes.
So united intelligent people can't leave unnoticed the problem of happiness, seeing their use of participating in its analytical, scientific, programming etc. accompaniment. For them forum on the problem would be huge sociologic laboratory, where they might prove how their ideas of different strategies, of versions of future predicted were perceived.
First initiators' activity would be many more successful if were supported by such authoritative organization as the U.N. By the way, in early 2002, I posted at Forum, what Club of Rome hold on its web site, the text entitled "An Affair for the United Nations". It was just about the old-age problem of happiness discussed in the World Net. On the contrary, supporting GCS plans the U.N. have got an image of the foreseeing organization taking care of future generations' fortune.
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