Xanadu 2012: CLIMATE CHANGE DEATH STATS    
 CLIMATE CHANGE DEATH STATS7 comments
22 Sep 2009 @ 12:26, by Unknown

sept 21 2009
autumn
earth

climate change death statistics

well taking the 1/100000 probability of a link between climate change and pandemics
and the current death toll for swine flu of 3000
there is a 1/1000000 current global chance of dying from climate change with an upward potential chance of 1/100000 which means climate change has currently killed about 300 people or so and could potentially kill as many as 300000 or more. Whether this is acceptable to global governments is the question whether it is acceptable to the public is another question whether such is acceptable to a court of law is another question whether it was acceptable those that died is probably not likely.

my numbers a probably a bit off so don't necessarily quote me on this, lousy actuarian that i am.

swanny


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7 comments

22 Sep 2009 @ 18:07 by jmarc : hmm
So what are my chances of dying from something other than climate change?  


22 Sep 2009 @ 18:44 by bushman : Hmm
Alcohal kills an average of 20,000 every year just in the USA.
This is from 2006 in the USA only.
Number of deaths for leading causes of death:
Heart disease: 631,636
Cancer: 559,888
Stroke (cerebrovascular diseases): 137,119
Chronic lower respiratory diseases: 124,583
Accidents (unintentional injuries): 121,599
Diabetes: 72,449
Alzheimer's disease: 72,432
Influenza and Pneumonia: 56,326
Nephritis, nephrotic syndrome, and nephrosis: 45,344
Septicemia: 34,234

{http://www.cdc.gov/}  



22 Sep 2009 @ 19:02 by jmarc : Stats
With my current chance of dying of climate change at .000001/1, I guess that my chance of dying of other causes around .9999999/1. Hopefully it won't be nephritis.  


22 Sep 2009 @ 19:12 by swanny @96.51.4.230 : Conservative
well I was trying to break the news gently as some people suggest the cumulative death toll of climate change at 1 billion.
If the pandemic is severe it alone could result in a 1/15 chance of death in the next 5 years based on the global results of the spanish flu pandemic in 1918.
It seems the medical community thus has come out speaking against climate change and the stats you mention are all having attempts made at treatment. When I got this news last Oct 2008 it caused me to have a breakdown of sorts.
Now Im not sure where I stand.
Life goes on.

swanny  



23 Sep 2009 @ 01:57 by swanny @96.51.4.230 : world court
Personally I think the debate has gone on to long and I would like to see the matter before the courts or supreme courts or world court to get some kind of definitive ruling.
Could call for a preliminary injunction on future climate change contributors developments  



23 Sep 2009 @ 08:49 by swanny @96.51.4.230 : details
Listen to
the size of the collective global exhaust pipe stands at 7 sq miles of a car roughly the size of Denmark running 12 hours a day or more. This is or will be a problem in a planet with a circumference of 24000 miles. A closed system can only take so much. Newtons third law of physics supports this that the collective force of all human activities can expect and equal and opposite force from the forces or properties of nature.  



23 Sep 2009 @ 09:54 by swanny @96.51.4.230 : dilemna
Yes the public doesnt want to make the sacrifices needed to save their children and the future because they would probably lose their jobs or hefty incomes hence the need for the creation of some Green Laws and bylaws to force or require us to live within our planetary and biocapacity means yet this is political suicide as the first party or leader to propose and implement this would be voted out in the next election so we have a dilemana and a lack of foresight and courage on the part of our leaders  


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